Article

Evolution-informed forecasting of seasonal influenza A (H3N2)

2017-10-04

Abstract excerpt

<h4>ABSTRACT</h4> Inter-pandemic or seasonal influenza exacts an enormous annual burden both in terms of human health and economic impact. Incidence prediction ahead of season remains a challenge largely because of the virus’ antigenic evolution. We propose here a forecasting approach that incorporates evolutionary change into a mechanistic epidemiological model. The proposed models are simple enough that their p...

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Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: c64d4144-b182-5876-97df-a4868d270f35
DOI: 10.1101/198168

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