Article
Effects of contact structure on the transient evolution of HIV virulence.
PLoS computational biology - 1 Mar 2017
Park Sang Woo, Bolker Benjamin M
Abstract excerpt
Early in an epidemic, high densities of susceptible hosts select for relatively high parasite virulence; later in the epidemic, lower susceptible densities select for lower virulence. Thus over the course of a typical epidemic the average virulence of parasite strains increases initially, peaks partway through the epidemic, then declines again. However, precise quantitative outcomes, such as the peak virulence...
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