Article

Stochastic Modeling and Transient Analysis of Epidemic Extinction Dynamics

2025-10-14

Abstract excerpt

Understanding extinction probabilities in branching processes is pivotal for epidemiology and population dynamics. Traditional models often assume a fixed generation time, resulting in extinction probabilities determined solely by offspring distributions and remaining unchanged over time. By contrast, our study incorporates the generation time into the analysis, considering how the timing of each generation influe...

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Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 64d7450e-5454-5849-82da-ba50c5e898c9
DOI: 10.1101/2025.10.13.682061

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