Article

A general model for the demographic signatures of the transition from pandemic emergence to endemicity

2021-07-07

Abstract excerpt

Anticipating the medium- and long-term trajectory of pathogen emergence has acquired new urgency given the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. For many human pathogens the burden of disease depends on age and prior exposure. Understanding the intersection between human population demography and transmission dynamics is therefore critical. Here, we develop a realistic age-structured (RAS) mathematical model that integrates...

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Literature Corpus work: b4daa9fd-44a2-50ad-853a-7fc1ca2162b4
DOI: 10.1101/2021.07.06.21260071

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