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Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varying

2022-10-21

Abstract excerpt

We introduce the angular reproduction number Ω, which measures time-varying changes in epidemic transmissibility resulting from variations in both the effective reproduction number R , and generation time distribution w . Predominant approaches for tracking pathogen spread either infer R or the epidemic growth rate r . However, R is biased by mismatches between the assumed and true w , while r is difficult to inte...

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Literature Corpus work
5f5a5132-978e-51de-affe-fabe9e79610a
DOI
10.1101/2022.10.19.22281255
Open publication

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Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varyingDOI 10.1101/2022.10.19.22281255
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