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The incidence-based dynamic reproduction index: accurate determination, diagnostic sensitivity, and predictive power

2022-04-16

Abstract excerpt

Two methods of calculating the reproduction index from daily new infection data are considered, one by using the generation time t G as a shift ( R G ), and an incidence-based method directly derived from the differential equation system of an SIR epidemic dynamics model ( R I ). While the former is shown to have few in common with the true reproduction index, we find that the latter provides a sensitive detection...

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Literature Corpus work
3cae6a87-10a6-5681-92f7-73f96e543709
DOI
10.1101/2022.04.11.22273599
Open publication

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