Article

Time-varying reproduction number estimation: Fusing compartmental models with generalised additive models

2024-03-28

Abstract excerpt

The reproduction number, the mean number of secondary cases infected by each primary case, is a central metric in infectious disease epidemiology, and played a key role in the COVID-19 pandemic response. This is because it gives an indication of the effort required to control the disease. Beyond the well-known basic reproduction number, there are two natural versions, namely the control and effective reproduction...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 0e7e2cfa-8903-5a61-b6f0-47bc92f60875
DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.26.24304928

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

Time-varying reproduction number estimation: Fusing compartmental models with generalised additive modelsDOI 10.1101/2024.03.26.24304928Read

Reproduction number estimation using smoothing methods Reproduction number and smoothing methodsSemantic proximity Read

Instantaneous Reproduction Number Estimation From Modelled IncidenceSemantic proximity Read

Nonparametric inference for the reproductive rate in generalized compartmental modelsSemantic proximity Read

Refining reproduction number estimates to account for unobserved generations of infection in emerging epidemicsSemantic proximity Read

Enhancing Time-Varying Reproduction Number Estimates with Behavior and Surveillance DataSemantic proximity Read

EpiLPS: a fast and flexible Bayesian tool for near real-time estimation of the time-varying reproduction numberSemantic proximity Read

A generalized ODE susceptible-infectious-susceptible compartmental model with potentially periodic behaviorSemantic proximity Read

Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic wavesSemantic proximity Read

Incorporating human mobility to enhance epidemic response and estimate real-time reproduction numbersSemantic proximity Read

Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreakSemantic proximity Read

Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive numberSemantic proximity Read

Meta-analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 serial interval and the impact of parameter uncertainty on the COVID-19 reproduction numberSemantic proximity Read