Article

An approximate Bayesian approach for estimation of the reproduction number under misreported epidemic data

2021-05-20

Abstract excerpt

In epidemic models, the effective reproduction number is of central importance to assess the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease and to orient health intervention strategies. Publicly shared data during an outbreak often suffers from two sources of misreporting (underreporting and delay in reporting) that should not be overlooked when estimating epidemiological parameters. The main statistical challenge...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 250cd854-6b5b-5613-b02a-dd100ee14ea3
DOI: 10.1101/2021.05.19.21257438

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

An approximate Bayesian approach for estimation of the reproduction number under misreported epidemic dataDOI 10.1101/2021.05.19.21257438Read

Refining reproduction number estimates to account for unobserved generations of infection in emerging epidemicsSemantic proximity Read

EpiLPS: a fast and flexible Bayesian tool for near real-time estimation of the time-varying reproduction numberSemantic proximity Read

Reproduction number estimation using smoothing methods Reproduction number and smoothing methodsSemantic proximity Read

Estimating epidemiological delay distributions for infectious diseasesSemantic proximity Read

Unjustified Poisson assumptions lead to overconfident estimates of the effective reproductive numberSemantic proximity Read

Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic wavesSemantic proximity Read

Time-varying reproduction number estimation: Fusing compartmental models with generalised additive modelsSemantic proximity Read

Instantaneous Reproduction Number Estimation From Modelled IncidenceSemantic proximity Read

Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number,<i>R<sub>t</sub></i>Semantic proximity Read

Incorporating human mobility to enhance epidemic response and estimate real-time reproduction numbersSemantic proximity Read

Delay-robust Estimation of the Reproduction Number and Comparative Evaluation on Generated Synthetic DataSemantic proximity Read

Interplay of Generation Time and Spatial Structure in Epidemic Dynamics and the Reliability of Reproduction Ratio EstimatesSemantic proximity Read