Inference of past population expansion from the timing of coalescence events in a gene genealogy.

Abstract excerpt

We investigate the expected coalescent in populations growing exponentially. The distribution of expected times to coalescence events may show a linear relationship with a number of ancestral lineages, when the latter is subjected to the "epidemic transformation". However, in a number of viral populations, upward curves are created when the epidemically transformed number of ancestral lineages is plotted against...

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