Article
A sub-exponential branching process to study early epidemic dynamics with application to Ebola
2019-10-08
Abstract excerpt
Exponential growth is a mathematically convenient model for the early stages of an outbreak of an infectious disease. However, for many pathogens (such as Ebola virus) the initial rate of transmission may be sub-exponential, even before transmission is affected by depletion of susceptible individuals. We present a stochastic multi-scale model capable of representing sub-exponential transmission: an in-homogeneous...
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Identifiers and source
- Literature Corpus work
- 330e8fed-d685-52f1-8b23-929b170a8187
- DOI
- 10.1101/797878