Article

Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty.<i>An evaluation of the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub</i>

2023-07-03

Abstract excerpt

Our ability to forecast epidemics more than a few weeks into the future is constrained by the complexity of disease systems, our limited ability to measure the current state of an epidemic, and uncertainties in how human action will affect transmission. Realistic longer-term projections (spanning more than a few weeks) may, however, be possible under defined scenarios that specify the future state of critical epid...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: e0743948-b37e-5486-84e9-3ba663b0c705
DOI: 10.1101/2023.06.28.23291998

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty.<i>An evaluation of the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub</i>DOI 10.1101/2023.06.28.23291998Read

Understanding COVID-19 spreading through simulation modeling and scenarios comparison: preliminary resultsSemantic proximity Read

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021Semantic proximity Read

An Evaluation of Prospective COVID-19 Modeling: From Data to Science TranslationSemantic proximity Read

Evaluating an epidemiologically motivated surrogate model of a multi-model ensembleSemantic proximity Read

Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.Semantic proximity Read

FOCUS: Forecasting COVID-19 in the United StatesSemantic proximity Read

Development of Accurate Long-lead COVID-19 ForecastSemantic proximity Read

A Multi-Method Approach to Modeling COVID-19 Disease Dynamics in the United StatesSemantic proximity Read

COVIDHunter: An Accurate, Flexible, and Environment-Aware Open-Source COVID-19 Outbreak Simulation ModelSemantic proximity Read

COVID-19 epidemic scenarios into 2021 based on observed key superspreading eventsSemantic proximity Read

Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in EnglandSemantic proximity Read

A comparative analysis of experienced uncertainties in relation to Risk Communication during COVID19. A four-country studySemantic proximity Read