Article

Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in England

2023-11-07

Abstract excerpt

Mathematical modelling has played an important role in offering informed advice during the COVID-19 pandemic. In England, a cross government and academia collaboration generated Medium-Term Projections (MTPs) of possible epidemic trajectories over the future 4-6 weeks from a collection of epidemiological models.In this paper we outline this collaborative modelling approach and evaluate the accuracy of the combined...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 4b007acf-866e-5c56-bc57-654cacc28bf4
DOI: 10.1101/2023.11.06.23298026

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in EnglandDOI 10.1101/2023.11.06.23298026Read

Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UKSemantic proximity Read

Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 Roadmap Projections against Public Health Data in EnglandSemantic proximity Read

A modular approach to forecasting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancySemantic proximity Read

An Evaluation of Prospective COVID-19 Modeling: From Data to Science TranslationSemantic proximity Read

The influence of model structure and geographic specificity on predictive accuracy among European COVID-19 forecastsSemantic proximity Read

Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.Semantic proximity Read

Evaluating an epidemiologically motivated surrogate model of a multi-model ensembleSemantic proximity Read

Near-term forecasting of Covid-19 cases and hospitalisations in Aotearoa New ZealandSemantic proximity Read

Forecasting the daily COVID-19 incidence in large and small communities -- A comparative study of forecasting approaches for disease surveillanceSemantic proximity Read

Sub-epidemic model forecasts for COVID-19 pandemic spread in the USA and European hotspots, February-May 2020Semantic proximity Read

A dynamic ensemble model for short-term forecasting in pandemic situationsSemantic proximity Read

Retrospective evaluation of short-term forecast performance of ensemble sub-epidemic frameworks and other time-series models: The 2022-2023 mpox outbreak across multiple geographical scales, July 14<sup>th</sup>, 2022, through February 26th, 2023Semantic proximity Read