Article

Development of Accurate Long-lead COVID-19 Forecast

2022-11-15

Abstract excerpt

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) will likely remain a major public health burden; accurate forecast of COVID-19 epidemic outcomes several months into the future is needed to support more proactive planning. Here, we propose strategies to address three major forecast challenges, i.e., error growth, the emergence of new variants, and infection seasonality. Using these strategies in combination we generate retrosp...

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Literature Corpus work: 9f3cfb3d-4bb5-5115-9a66-38f7edbfc6a8
DOI: 10.1101/2022.11.14.22282323

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