Article

COVID-19 epidemic scenarios into 2021 based on observed key superspreading events

2021-04-20

Abstract excerpt

Key high transmission dates for the year 2020 are used to create scenarios of the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in several states of Mexico for 2021. These scenarios are obtained through the estimation of a time-dependent contact rate, where the main assumption is that disease behavior is heavily determined by the mobility and social activity of the population during holidays and other important calendar date...

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Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: c980950b-e187-569a-8124-3aaeae197a54
DOI: 10.1101/2021.04.14.21255436

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