Article

The influence of ensemble size and composition on the performance of combined real-time COVID-19 forecasts

2025-08-12

Abstract excerpt

During infectious disease outbreaks, short-term forecasts can play an important role for both decision makers and the general public. While previous research has shown that combining individual forecasts into an ensemble improves accuracy and consistency, practical guidance for organisers of multi-model prediction platforms on how to construct an ensemble has been scarce. In particular, it is not entirely clear ho...

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Literature Corpus work: bd08c511-bf00-51bc-9f42-49ce5de571f5
DOI: 10.1101/2025.08.09.25331484

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