Article

The influence of model structure and geographic specificity on predictive accuracy among European COVID-19 forecasts

2025-04-11

Abstract excerpt

Modellers take many approaches to predicting the course of infectious diseases, and achieve a wide range of accuracy in resulting forecasting performance. For example, forecasters vary in their use of different underlying model structures, and in the extent to which they adapt a model to the specific forecast target. However, it has been difficult to evaluate the impact of these choices on subsequent forecast perf...

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Literature Corpus work: 5101d42a-6a34-53b6-815a-8f8da0e0a19c
DOI: 10.1101/2025.04.10.25325611

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