Article

Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease

2021-03-01

Abstract excerpt

When new pathogens emerge, numerous questions arise about their future spread, some of which can be addressed with probabilistic forecasts. The many uncertainties about the epidemiology of emerging pathogens can make it difficult to choose among model structures and assumptions, however. To assess the potential for uncertainties about emerging pathogens to affect forecasts of their spread, we evaluated the perform...

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Literature Corpus work: 79c90958-ebd7-5e7a-8d46-c9ed6eba5daf
DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.25.21252363

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