Article

Endogenous Viral Mutations, Evolutionary Selection, and Containment Policy Design

2021-08-03

Abstract excerpt

How will the novel coronavirus evolve? I study a simple SEPAIRD model, in which mutations may change the properties of the virus and its associated disease stochastically and antigenic drifts allow new variants to partially evade immunity. I show analytically that variants with higher infectiousness, longer disease duration, and shorter latency period prove to be fitter. “Smart” containment policies targeting symp...

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Literature Corpus work: 5cee6f82-6258-5f7f-89eb-05d260c79ab5
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3883280

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