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Retrospective evaluation of short-term forecast performance of ensemble sub-epidemic frameworks and other time-series models: The 2022-2023 mpox outbreak across multiple geographical scales, July 14<sup>th</sup>, 2022, through February 26th, 2023

2023-05-16

Abstract excerpt

In May 2022, public health officials noted an unprecedented surge in mpox cases in non-endemic countries worldwide. As the epidemic accelerated, multi-model forecasts of the epidemic’s trajectory were critical in guiding the implementation of public health interventions and determining policy. As the case levels have significantly decreased as of early September 2022, evaluating model performance is essential to a...

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Literature Corpus work
980d9b84-47c7-5aea-8624-c44e1a913374
DOI
10.1101/2023.05.15.23289989
Open publication

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Retrospective evaluation of short-term forecast performance of ensemble sub-epidemic frameworks and other time-series models: The 2022-2023 mpox outbreak across multiple geographical scales, July 14<sup>th</sup>, 2022, through February 26th, 2023DOI 10.1101/2023.05.15.23289989
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