Article

Explaining the “Bomb-Like” Dynamics of COVID-19 with Modeling and the Implications for Policy

2020-04-07

Abstract excerpt

Using a Bayesian approach to epidemiological compartmental modeling, we demonstrate the “bomb-like” behavior of exponential growth in COVID-19 cases can be explained by transmission of asymptomatic and mild cases that are typically unreported at the beginning of pandemic events due to lower prevalence of testing. We studied the exponential phase of the pandemic in Italy, Spain, and South Korea, and found the R 0 t...

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Literature Corpus work: 25ec373c-d1ab-54ef-9876-dc69f5d004d3
DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.05.20054338

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