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Research Article Summary: Inferring change points in the COVID-19 spreading reveals the effectiveness of interventions

2020-04-06

Abstract excerpt

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key epidemiological parameters and how they change when first interventions show an effect. By combining an established epidemiological model with Bayesian inference, we analyze the t...

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Literature Corpus work: d981ee89-f2a0-510a-9235-01a408595a30
DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.02.20050922

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