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Tracing DAY-ZERO and Forecasting the Fade out of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: A Compartmental Modelling and Numerical Optimization Approach

2020-03-20

Abstract excerpt

Italy currently constitutes the epicenter of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, having surpassed China’s death toll. The disease is sweeping through Lombardy, which remains in lockdown since the 8th of March. As of the same day, the isolation measures taken in Lombardy have been extended to the entire country. Here, we provide estimates for: (a) the DAY-ZERO of the outbreak in Lombardy, Italy; (b)...

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Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work
63b78b84-bbb2-5c82-a937-42325614c1de
DOI
10.1101/2020.03.17.20037689
Open publication

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Tracing DAY-ZERO and Forecasting the Fade out of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: A Compartmental Modelling and Numerical Optimization ApproachDOI 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037689
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