Article
Quantifying uncertainty of predictions from cancer progression models.
Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) - 3 Aug 2026
Hu Yanren Linda, Pfahler Simon, Lösch Andreas, Vocht Stefan, Hansch Stefan, Rupp Kevin, Beerenwinkel Niko, Wettig Tilo, Schill Rudolf, Spang Rainer
Abstract excerpt
MOTIVATION: Cancer progresses through the accumulation of genomic events. Cancer progression models such as Mutual Hazard Networks (MHNs) describe this dynamic, enabling prediction of temporal event positions and patient-specific risks of acquiring mutations. However, current MHN analyses rely on single most likely models and do not quantify the uncertainty inherent to parameter estimation. Assessing forecast...
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