Evaluating a new marker for risk prediction: decision analysis to the rescue.

Abstract excerpt

In many areas of medicine risk prediction models are used to identify high-risk persons to receive treatment, with the goal of maximizing the ratio of benefits to harms. Thus there is considerable interest in evaluating markers to improve risk prediction. Many measures to evaluate a new marker for risk prediction are based solely on predictive accuracy including the odds ratio, change in the area under the...

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