Article

Utility of human judgment ensembles during times of pandemic uncertainty: A case study during the COVID-19 Omicron BA.1 wave in the USA

2022-10-13

Abstract excerpt

Responding to a rapidly evolving pandemic like COVID-19 is challenging, and involves anticipating novel variants, vaccine uptake, and behavioral adaptations. Human judgment systems can complement computational models by providing valuable real-time forecasts. We report findings from a study conducted on Metaculus, a community forecasting platform, in partnership with the Virginia Department of Health, involving si...

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Literature Corpus work: 93f1f8c2-0f23-5c62-b8d2-115dda4b03a5
DOI: 10.1101/2022.10.12.22280997

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