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The covariance matrix of metapopulation disease models and applications to early warning signals

2026-05-12

Abstract excerpt

<h4>ABSTRACT</h4> Infectious disease time series often show signs of epidemic transitions, such as the peaks and troughs of the time series. In these time series, key system parameters can lead to catastrophic changes in the dynamical system behaviour (often called critical transitions). Modellers have increasingly shown that early warning signals can anticipate these transitions, both critical and non-critical,...

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Literature Corpus work
7b64c516-d8dd-5b51-ab42-d1a57a27082a
DOI
10.64898/2026.05.08.26352721
Open publication

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