Article

Regional probabilistic situational awareness and forecasting of COVID-19

2021-10-27

Abstract excerpt

Mathematical models and statistical inference are fundamental for surveillance and control of the COVID-19 pandemic. Several aspects cause regional heterogeneity in disease spread. Individual behaviour, mobility, viral variants and transmission vary locally, temporally and with season, and interventions and vaccination are often implemented regionally. Therefore, we developed a new regional changepoint stochastic...

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Literature Corpus work: db7cf9d1-efec-5352-8029-f666b9fc5999
DOI: 10.1101/2021.10.25.21265166

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