Article

Mechanistic model calibration and the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK (the past, the present and the future)

2021-05-22

Abstract excerpt

<h4>Summary</h4> ▪ We augment the well-known susceptible – infected – recovered – deceased ( SIRD ) epidemiological model to include vaccination dynamics, implemented as a piecewise continuous simulation. We calibrate this model to reported case data in the UK at a national level, ▪ Our modelling approach decouples the inherent characteristics of the infection from the degree of human interaction (as defined by th...

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Literature Corpus work: 71c763a9-53ef-5e8a-9e54-e82dbf7d7cbf
DOI: 10.1101/2021.05.18.21257384

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