Article

Simulating the Mpox Early Outbreak: Dynamic-Spread Assessment via vSEIR Modelling and Kink Detection in Disease Transmission

2023-06-15

Abstract excerpt

The mpox epidemic rapidly sparks new panic in the context that the aftermath triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic has not fully dissipated, amplifying the necessity for delving deeper into its propagation features and dynamic simulation of its spread. Therefore, this paper proposes a varying coefficient Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed (vSEIR) model to simulate the early mpox epidemic, considering the time-varyi...

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Literature Corpus work: 70aa2ba1-9913-57cc-8143-3b875afaa680
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4456855

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