Back to search

Article

Validation of methods for forecasting the frequency of non-vaccine serotypes after introduction or switch of a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine

2026-04-18

Abstract excerpt

<h4>Background</h4> To anticipate the impact of new pneumococcal vaccines and guide future updates, accurate forecasts of changes in non-vaccine serotypes (NVTs) are needed. We developed and evaluated three models that incorporated different assumptions about the way in which NVTs will increase and generated ensemble predictions for the frequency of NVTs in different post-pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) per...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work
39333db9-265f-5776-b90d-a5b817589f11
DOI
10.64898/2026.04.16.26351051
Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest
Interactive article relationship graphSelect a related publication card to move it into the centre and load its closest explainable connections. Solid lines are source-backed structured connections. Dashed lines are semantic discovery signals and are not scientific evidence.
Validation of methods for forecasting the frequency of non-vaccine serotypes after introduction or switch of a pneumococcal conjugate vaccineDOI 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351051
Prediction of post-PCV13 pneumococcal evolution using invasive disease data enhanced by inverse-invasiveness weightingSemantic proximity
Differences in Pneumococcal Serotype Replacement in Individuals with and without Underlying Medical ConditionsSemantic proximity
Serotype-specific pneumococcal invasiveness: a global meta-analysis of paired estimates of disease incidence and carriage prevalenceSemantic proximity
Serotype epidemiology and case-fatality risk of invasive pneumococcal disease: a nationwide population study from Switzerland, 2012–2022Semantic proximity
Divergent serotype replacement trends and increasing diversity in pneumococcal disease in high income settings reduce the benefit of expanding vaccine valencySemantic proximity
An empirical Bayes method for serotype case-carrier ratios, with an application to Group B streptococcusSemantic proximity
Optimizing the timing of one or two doses of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in older adults in the United States: a modeling studySemantic proximity
Pneumococcal vaccine impacts on the population genomics of non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae.Semantic proximity
Pneumococcal lineages associated with serotype replacement and antibiotic resistance in childhood invasive pneumococcal disease in the post-PCV13 era: an international whole-genome sequencing studySemantic proximity
Pneumococcal Diseases Caused by Serotype Replacement in Colombia: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Infants and Its Herd Protection in Older AdultsSemantic proximity
A model-based evaluation of the cost-effectiveness of paediatric and elderly vaccination against pneumococcal infection in EnglandSemantic proximity
Recent advances in the epidemiology and prevention of Streptococcus pneumoniae infectionsSemantic proximity
Select a neighboring publication to make it the new centre.