Back to search

Article

A Carriage-Structured Model of Meningococcal Meningitis: Backward Bifurcation, Seasonal Recurrence, and the Reach of Conjugate-Vaccine Strategies in the African Meningitis Belt

2026-08-06

Abstract excerpt

Epidemic meningococcal meningitis in the African meningitis belt recurs on two superimposed timescales: a sharp annual dry-season peak and irregular multi-annual epidemics separated by five to twelve years. Because invasive disease is a rare, epidemiologically dead-end outcome of asymptomatic nasopharyngeal carriage, transmission models built on the standard susceptible-infectious template misrepresent the driving...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work
35106838-3213-5b61-95f1-98f7bd14aee2
DOI
10.20944/preprints202608.0413.v1
Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest
Interactive article relationship graphSelect a related publication card to move it into the centre and load its closest explainable connections. Solid lines are source-backed structured connections. Dashed lines are semantic discovery signals and are not scientific evidence.
A Carriage-Structured Model of Meningococcal Meningitis: Backward Bifurcation, Seasonal Recurrence, and the Reach of Conjugate-Vaccine Strategies in the African Meningitis BeltDOI 10.20944/preprints202608.0413.v1
Modelling Meningitis Transmission with Booster Vaccination and Resistance Dynamics: Equilibrium and Control AnalysesSemantic proximity
Meningitis, pathogenicity near criticality: the epidemiology of meningococcal disease as a model for accidental pathogens.Semantic proximity
Post-pandemic modeling of COVID-19: Waning immunity determines recurrence frequencySemantic proximity
Mutation induced infection waves in diseases like COVID-19Semantic proximity
Mutation induced infection waves in diseases like COVID-19.Semantic proximity
Assessing the stability of polio eradication after the withdrawal of oral polio vaccineSemantic proximity
A prototype vaccination model for endemic Covid-19 under waning immunity and imperfect vaccine take-upSemantic proximity
A Study of a Deterministic Model for Meningitis EpidemicSemantic proximity
Vaccination and the dynamics of immune evasionSemantic proximity
Age-structured modelling of Ebola convalescence and re-emergence risk: a Bayesian approachSemantic proximity
Persistence, Coexistence and Boundary Transcritical Relays for Multi-Strain Epidemic ModelsSemantic proximity
Predictions of the emergence of vaccine-resistant hepatitis B in The Gambia using a mathematical model.Semantic proximity
Select a neighboring publication to make it the new centre.