A flexible machine learning Mendelian randomization estimator applied to predict the safety and efficacy of sclerostin inhibition.

Abstract excerpt

Mendelian randomization (MR) enables the estimation of causal effects while controlling for unmeasured confounding factors. However, traditional MR's reliance on strong parametric assumptions can introduce bias if these are violated. We describe a machine learning MR estimator named quantile instrumental variable (Quantile IV) that achieves a low estimation error in a wide range of plausible MR scenarios....

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