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Sub-national heterogeneity in the time-varying reproduction number during the 2026 Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: a hierarchical Bayesian analysis

2026-08-22

Abstract excerpt

National-level estimates of the time-varying reproduction number (Rt) for the 2026 Bundibugyo virus disease (BDBV) outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) have converged on a value close to the epidemic threshold since early August 2026, consistent with independent joint Bayesian renewal-model estimates. A single national Rt, however, can obscure divergent sub-national epidemic trajectories, particu...

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Literature Corpus work
d45d0f2b-cdaf-57fe-a8f4-30c0948234e4
DOI
10.64898/2026.08.19.26360792
Open publication

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Sub-national heterogeneity in the time-varying reproduction number during the 2026 Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: a hierarchical Bayesian analysisDOI 10.64898/2026.08.19.26360792
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