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Article

Qualitative forecast and temporal evolution of the disease spreading using a simplified model and COVID-19 data for Italy

2020-06-23

Abstract excerpt

In a previous paper [1] a simplified SEIR model applied to COVID-19 cases detected in Italy, including the lockdown period, has shown a good fitting to the time evolution of the disease during the observed period. In this paper that model is applied to the initial data available for Italy in order to forecast, in a qualitative way, the time evolution of the disease spreading. The values obtained are to be consider...

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Literature Corpus work
aaa13c5b-91ed-5b22-b047-5873cd6f02f6
DOI
10.1101/2020.06.22.20137133
Open publication

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Qualitative forecast and temporal evolution of the disease spreading using a simplified model and COVID-19 data for ItalyDOI 10.1101/2020.06.22.20137133
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