Article

Nowcasting cases and trends during the measles 2023/24 outbreak in England

2025-04-14

Abstract excerpt

<h4>Background</h4> From 2023 to 2024, England had the largest measles outbreak in over a decade. Lags from suspected cases’ symptom onset to the availability of test results mean laboratory-confirmed case data are inherently retrospective rather than real-time. Reporting lags vary by measles prevalence and whether testing was for diagnostic or surveillance purposes. Nowcasting models predict future backfilling of...

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Literature Corpus work: 95f3d309-37ff-5fd9-8502-63d9e71501ea
DOI: 10.1101/2025.04.08.25325363

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