Article

Relative contagiousness of emerging virus variants: An analysis of the Alpha, Delta, and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variants

2022-03-24

Abstract excerpt

Summary We propose a simple dynamic model for estimating the relative contagiousness of two virus variants. Maximum likelihood estimation and inference is conveniently invariant to variation in the total number of cases over the sample period and can be expressed as a logistic regression. We apply the model to Danish SARS-CoV-2 variant data. We estimate the reproduction numbers of Alpha and Delta to be larger than...

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Literature Corpus work: 6ac4c80d-8903-5e7c-8535-17474b208605
DOI: 10.1093/ectj/utac011

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