Article

Individual and Population Level Uncertainty Interact to Determine the Performance of Outbreak Surveillance Systems

2025-07-14

Abstract excerpt

<h4>Background</h4> Outbreak detection frequently relies on imperfect individual-level case diagnosis. Both outbreaks and cases are discrete events that can be misclassified and uncertainty at the case level may impact the performance of outbreak alert and detection systems. Here, we describe how the performance of outbreak detection depends on individual-level diagnostic test characteristics and population-level...

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Literature Corpus work: 3cca69c4-d3bd-57c7-a3a9-46554426ab92
DOI: 10.1101/2025.07.11.25331369

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