Article

Current forecast of COVID-19: a Bayesian and Machine Learning approaches

2020-12-14

Abstract excerpt

We address the estimation of the effective reproductive number R t based on serological data using Bayesian inference. We also explore the Bayesian learning paradigm to estimate R t . We calculate R t for the top five most affected principal regions of Mexico. We present a forecast of the spread of coronavirus in Mexico based on a contact tracing model using Bayesian inference inspired in a data-driven approach. W...

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Literature Corpus work: 2f08a076-27a3-5714-ba77-ab2f621b4f2c
DOI: 10.1101/2020.12.11.20231829

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