Article

Probability of Resurgence and Scale of Transmission of COVID-19 in China Depend on Passive Case Detection Capacity

2021-12-01

Abstract excerpt

Small-scale outbreaks of COVID-19 recently occurred in some Chinese cities. Our purpose was to develop a branching process model that assesses the scale and risk of transmission from a single confirmed COVID-19 case in each province when vaccine coverage and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are maintained. The model predicts that when a case is detected, resurgence is less likely when detection sensitivity...

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Literature Corpus work: 29b81564-f4ba-5dfe-a98a-3a0249e39236
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3975357

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