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Article

Emergence failure of early epidemics: A mathematical modeling approach.

PloS one - 1 Jan 2024

Breban Romulus

Abstract excerpt

Epidemic or pathogen emergence is the phenomenon by which a poorly transmissible pathogen finds its evolutionary pathway to become a mutant that can cause an epidemic. Many mathematical models of pathogen emergence rely on branching processes. Here, we discuss pathogen emergence using Markov chains, for a more tractable analysis, generalizing previous work by Kendall and Bartlett about disease invasion. We...

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Identifiers

PMID: 38809831
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0301415
PMCID: PMC11135784

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PubMed metadata and Literature Corpus relationships. Corpus snapshot updated 7 Sept 2026. Manifest publication-graph-cohort-2026-09-07.1.

Source receipt: pubmed, retrieved 7 Sept 2026.

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