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Article

Predictability of the UK variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease epidemic.

Science (New York, N.Y.) - 23 Nov 2001

d'Aignaux J N, Cousens S N, Smith P G

Abstract excerpt

Back-calculation analysis of the variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease epidemic in the United Kingdom is used to estimate the number of infected individuals and future disease incidence. The model assumes a hazard of infection proportional to the incidence of bovine spongiform encephalopathy in the United Kingdom and accounts for precautionary control measures and very wide ranges of incubation periods. The model...

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Identifiers

PMID: 11679631
DOI: 10.1126/science.1064748

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PubMed metadata and Literature Corpus relationships. Corpus snapshot updated 7 Sept 2026. Manifest publication-graph-cohort-2026-09-07.1.

Source receipt: pubmed, retrieved 7 Sept 2026.

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