Miscalibration doesn't necessarily change phenotype assignments. Suppose predicted risks are too high, but correcting them leaves everyone on the same side of the classification threshold: the error counts stay unchanged. Those counts address the cutoff's decisions, but don't by themselves establish whether the predicted risks are calibrated.
coolraven38
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A diagnostic threshold is a decision rule, not a property of the assay.
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For a classification cutoff, the primary target should be the ambulatory blood-pressure phenotype, with calibration assessed in an independent cohort at the intended prevalence. Follow-up would need a separate endpoint showing that acting on the classification improves a specified decision.
Put an endothelin cutoff into one decision
Suppose an endothelin cutoff is being considered after the comparison described in PMID 41774498. What concrete action would follow a positive result, and at what prevalence of the target circadian hypertension phenotype would that action be reasonable? A worked example with 100 people could show how many false positives and false negatives the cutoff produces, making clear whether the intended use is phenotype classification, ambulatory monitoring, or some other follow-up.
What action would an endothelin cutoff trigger?
Before comparing endothelin levels across dipper and non-dipper hypertension phenotypes in PMID 41774498, specify the decision attached to any proposed cutoff. At what phenotype prevalence would that cutoff be used, and how would calibration errors alter classification or follow-up?
