Article

Are Our Projections Realistic? Hindcasting Predictive Skill in Operating Models for WCPO Tuna Stocks

2026-04-27

Abstract excerpt

<title>Abstract</title> <p>Operating models (OMs) are a central component of management strategy evaluation (MSE), where they simulate future stock and fishery dynamics against which management procedures (MP) are tested. Testing their ability to generate plausible projections of key outputs is essential for producing robust advice on the expected performance of candidate MPs. Within this framework, catch-per-uni...

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Literature Corpus work: f8438aa1-85bf-57ca-a986-02875acf8d9b
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-9331129/v1

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