Article

Ensemble forecast of COVID-19 in Karnataka for vulnerability assessment and policy interventions

2021-09-02

Abstract excerpt

We present an ensemble forecast for Wave-3 of COVID-19 in the state of Karnataka, India, using the IISc Population Balance Model for infectious disease spread. The reported data of confirmed, recovered, and deceased cases in Karnataka from 1 July 2020 to 4 July 2021 is utilized to tune the model’s parameters, and an ensemble forecast is done from 5 July 2021 to 30 June 2022. The ensemble is built with 972 members...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: a0c29dfe-0c57-5ae8-8612-e2cca7253164
DOI: 10.1101/2021.08.31.21262943

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

Ensemble forecast of COVID-19 in Karnataka for vulnerability assessment and policy interventionsDOI 10.1101/2021.08.31.21262943Read

Ensemble Forecast of COVID-19 for Vulnerability Assessment and Policy InterventionsSemantic proximity Read

Forecasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Pandemic under Plausible Variant and Intervention Scenarios: A Global Modelling StudySemantic proximity Read

Multi-parametric disease dynamics study and analysis of the COVID-19 epidemic and implementation of population-wide intrusions: The Indian perspectiveSemantic proximity Read

Control Strategies for the Third wave of COVID-19 infection in India: A Mathematical Model Incorporating Vaccine EffectivenessSemantic proximity Read

Prediction of Second Wave of COVID-19 in India using the Modified SEIR ModelSemantic proximity Read

Dynamics of the Third wave, modelling COVID-19 pandemic with an outlook towards IndiaSemantic proximity Read

Review of Forecasting Models for Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic in India during Country-wise LockdownsSemantic proximity Read

A Statewise Analysis of the Socioeconomic and Health Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic in India: Lessons for Future Health System PreparednessSemantic proximity Read

Sub-epidemic model forecasts for COVID-19 pandemic spread in the USA and European hotspots, February-May 2020Semantic proximity Read

Network-based Modeling of COVID-19 Dynamics: Early Pandemic Spread in IndiaSemantic proximity Read

COVID-19 Flattening Curve,"A Recipe for Second Wave of Infections in Kenya''Semantic proximity Read

The COVID-19 Pandemic: Model-Based Evaluation of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and PrognosesSemantic proximity Read