Article

Extending Peaks-Over-Threshold Methods to Public Health: Modified Threshold Selection and Scenario-Based Risk Estimation

2025-10-01

Abstract excerpt

<title>Abstract</title> <p>Rare but extreme events in public health, such as sudden dengue outbreaks or surges in urgent cancer referrals, pose disproportionate threats to healthcare systems by overwhelming diagnostic capacity, straining resources, and elevating mortality risks. Traditional statistical approaches, which emphasize average behavior, often fail to capture these high-impact tail risks. This study adv...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 6cec788a-fde6-51ce-aff1-dcadcf9dc4ce
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7553933/v1

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

Extending Peaks-Over-Threshold Methods to Public Health: Modified Threshold Selection and Scenario-Based Risk EstimationDOI 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7553933/v1Read

Revealing Dengue Dynamics: A Novel Bin-Wise Gaussian Process Model for Probabilistic ForecastingSemantic proximity Read

Multilayer factors associated with excess all-cause mortality during the Omicron and non-Omicron waves of the COVID-19 pandemic: time series analysis in 29 countriesSemantic proximity Read

A Hierarchical Model for Serially-Dependent Extremes: A Study of Heat Waves in the Western USSemantic proximity Read

Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UKSemantic proximity Read

A regression-based approach to modelling recurrent outbreaks: a case study of dengue fever in Nepal (2006–2022)Semantic proximity Read

PRE-CISE: A PRE-calibration Coverage, Identifiability, and SEnsitivity analysis workflow to streamline model calibrationSemantic proximity Read

Analyzing the Hydrological Disconnect Between Extreme Precipitation and River Discharge in Douala, CameroonSemantic proximity Read

SARIMA Forecasts of Dengue Incidence in Brazil, Mexico, Singapore, Sri Lanka, and Thailand: Model Performance and the Significance of Reporting DelaysSemantic proximity Read

Foundation time series models for forecasting and policy evaluation in infectious disease epidemicsSemantic proximity Read

A Multi-City COVID-19 Categorical Forecasting Model Utilizing Wastewater-Based EpidemiologySemantic proximity Read

Mechanistic Understanding of Pandemic Dynamics: A Multiscale Algorithmic FrameworkSemantic proximity Read