Article

An SEIARD epidemic model for COVID-19 in Mexico: mathematical analysis and state-level forecast

2020-05-18

Abstract excerpt

We propose an SEIARD mathematical model to investigate the current outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Mexico. Our model incorporates the asymptomatic infected individuals, who represent the majority of the infected population (with symptoms or not) and could play an important role in spreading the virus without any knowledge. We calculate the basic reproduction number (R 0 ) via the next-generation matr...

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Literature Corpus work: 4cc04cab-2f5f-5a1e-b25f-01eeacefdd2d
DOI: 10.1101/2020.05.11.20098517

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