Article

Forecasting COVID-19 pandemic Severity in Asia

2020-05-18

Abstract excerpt

Four months into the ongoing novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, this work provides a simple and direct projection of the outbreak spreading potential and the pandemic cessation dates in China, Iran, the Philippines and Taiwan, using the generalized logistic model (GLM). The short-term predicted number of cumulative COVID-19 cases matched the confirmed reports of those who were infected across the...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 49063816-15d5-5288-8b2a-3ac49952781a
DOI: 10.1101/2020.05.15.20102640

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

Forecasting COVID-19 pandemic Severity in AsiaDOI 10.1101/2020.05.15.20102640Read

Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR ModelSemantic proximity Read

Phenomenological Modelling of COVID-19 epidemics in Sri Lanka, Italy and Hebei Province of ChinaSemantic proximity Read

Ongoing outbreak of COVID-19 in Iran: challenges and signs of concern with under-reporting of prevalence and deathsSemantic proximity Read

Comparative Analysis of COVID-19 Transmission Patterns in Three Chinese Regions <i>vs</i>. South Korea, Italy and IranSemantic proximity Read

Simulation-based Estimation of the Spread of COVID-19 in IranSemantic proximity Read

Reductions of Migrant Population Reduces the Number of COVID-19 Epidemic: A Case Study in ChinaSemantic proximity Read

Ongoing outbreak of COVID-19 in Iran: challenges and signs of concern with under-reporting of prevalence and deathsSemantic proximity Read

Review of Forecasting Models for Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic in India during Country-wise LockdownsSemantic proximity Read

Modelling the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in six high burden countriesSemantic proximity Read

A prediction model for COVID-19 prevalence based on demographic and healthcare parameters in IranSemantic proximity Read

Real-time forecasts and risk assessment of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) cases: A data-driven analysisSemantic proximity Read

Pandemic dynamics of COVID-19 using epidemic stage, instantaneous reproductive number and pathogen genome identity (GENI) score: modeling molecular epidemiologySemantic proximity Read