Article

South Tropical Atlantic and South Atlantic Convergence Zone: Opportunities for Long-Lead ENSO Diversity Prediction

2026-03-20

Abstract excerpt

<title>Abstract</title> <p>Forecasting skill for the pronounced spatial diversity of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains a significant challenge at long lead times. Using Peter and Clark Momentary Conditional Independence Plus with forward-in-time conditioning applied to the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (1945--2024), we identify a novel atmospheric bri...

Topics

Open a Topic to create a Post that cites this publication.

Identifiers and source

Literature Corpus work: 2f2d6003-6c08-59f9-ba07-a15125330b6b
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8463186/v1

Open publication

Related research

Semantic proximity does not establish scientific evidence.

Click a neighbor to travelStep 1 · 12 closest

South Tropical Atlantic and South Atlantic Convergence Zone: Opportunities for Long-Lead ENSO Diversity PredictionDOI 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8463186/v1Read

Increased risk of heat extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean during weak Indian summer monsoon yearsSemantic proximity Read

Connecting Global Modes of Variability to Climate in High Mountain AsiaSemantic proximity Read

A Machine Learning-based Dynamic SST Index for Long-lead Malaria Prediction in the Peruvian AmazonSemantic proximity Read

Future precipitation projections for Brazil and tropical South America from a Convection-permitting climate simulationSemantic proximity Read

Extreme Precipitation Pathway Detection Algorithm using Tail Dependence Coefficient and K-means++ ClusteringSemantic proximity Read

Decoding 21st-Century Meteorological Drought Dynamics over India: An Event-Based Characterization FrameworkSemantic proximity Read

Skillful land and marine heatwave forecasting through hybrid statistical dynamical modellingSemantic proximity Read

A New Approach to Generate Dynamical Cone of Uncertainty for Cyclone Track Forecast over North Indian OceanSemantic proximity Read

Climate, currents and species traits contribute to early stages of marine species redistribution.Semantic proximity Read

Long-Term Spatiotemporal Evolution of Annual and Seasonal Aridity Across Saudi ArabiaSemantic proximity Read

Atmospheric Dynamical Amplification Intensifies Future Extreme Precipitation RisksSemantic proximity Read

Impact of Tropical Seaways Closure on ENSO Variability during the Middle Miocene Climatic OptimumSemantic proximity Read