Article

Conditional source attribution at plankton bloom onset: Identifiability and sharp bounds under environmental forcing.

2026-08-14

Abstract excerpt

Can observations distinguish a bloom supplied from within a study volume from one supplied across its boundary? We develop a theoretical framework for that question at plankton bloom onset, conditional on a predeclared, observed or calibrated onset event and a declared set of environmental paths, biological responses, and model forms. The estimand follows source-event labels through forcing-dependent survival and...

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Literature Corpus work: 25372a10-671f-5e34-ae44-25979ee28d7d
DOI: 10.64898/2026.08.13.744670

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