Article

Overlapping Time Scales Obscure Early Warning Signals of the Second COVID-19 Wave

2021-07-30

Abstract excerpt

Early warning indicators based on critical slowing down have been suggested as a model-independent and low-cost tool to anticipate the (re)emergence of infectious diseases. We studied whether such indicators could reliably have anticipated the second COVID-19 wave in European countries. Contrary to theoretical predictions, we found that characteristic early warning indicators generally decreased rather than increa...

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Literature Corpus work: 206c01f7-dc3b-5537-b361-a378b312e606
DOI: 10.1101/2021.07.27.21261226

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